Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004296 0.004719 0.005173 0.005699 0.006293 0.006946 0.007719
2025-09-14 0.003689 0.004293 0.004992 0.005867 0.006940 0.008225 0.009898
2025-09-21 0.003223 0.003890 0.004698 0.005760 0.007138 0.008891 0.011329
2025-09-28 0.002883 0.003579 0.004453 0.005649 0.007272 0.009441 0.012633
2025-10-05 0.002657 0.003380 0.004316 0.005641 0.007513 0.010129 0.014187
2025-10-12 0.002514 0.003268 0.004274 0.005746 0.007904 0.011052 0.016190
2025-10-19 0.002335 0.003091 0.004122 0.005674 0.008022 0.011575 0.017637
2025-10-26 0.002197 0.002957 0.004018 0.005653 0.008205 0.012205 0.019334
2025-11-02 0.002057 0.002810 0.003880 0.005567 0.008271 0.012646 0.020761
2025-11-09 0.001967 0.002726 0.003826 0.005600 0.008524 0.013415 0.022876
2025-11-16 0.001863 0.002615 0.003722 0.005545 0.008623 0.013926 0.024582
2025-11-23 0.001749 0.002481 0.003575 0.005406 0.008564 0.014148 0.025751
2025-11-30 0.001670 0.002398 0.003506 0.005399 0.008745 0.014853 0.028082
2025-12-07 0.001633 0.002379 0.003536 0.005560 0.009246 0.016227 0.032124
2025-12-14 0.001544 0.002274 0.003420 0.005460 0.009256 0.016646 0.034115
2025-12-21 0.001463 0.002175 0.003308 0.005357 0.009248 0.017024 0.036084
2025-12-28 0.001407 0.002113 0.003252 0.005349 0.009421 0.017797 0.039180
2026-01-04 0.001374 0.002087 0.003255 0.005447 0.009811 0.019086 0.043896
2026-01-11 0.001314 0.002013 0.003173 0.005379 0.009858 0.019620 0.046711
2026-01-18 0.001267 0.001958 0.003119 0.005360 0.010003 0.020396 0.050398
2026-01-25 0.001214 0.001890 0.003036 0.005279 0.010008 0.020841 0.053220
2026-02-01 0.001181 0.001855 0.003011 0.005310 0.010257 0.021914 0.058269
2026-02-08 0.001138 0.001800 0.002948 0.005259 0.010318 0.022525 0.062004